Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.