Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.