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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Yeboah (18', 87' pen.)
Sang-bin (12'), Romero (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (26'), Emiro Garces Torres (90')
Pec (45+2'), Wynder (56'), Fagundez (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 16 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy are struggling for both confidence and goals at the moment, but a team of their calibre can never be entirely ruled out – however, given Minnesota's strong home form and recent home dominance in this fixture, the hosts should have enough to take something from this encounter, which is why we anticipate a closely contested affair ending in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
49.31% (0.594 0.59) 22.57% (-0.1 -0.1) 28.12% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 62.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.134 0.13)37.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.145 0.14)59.64% (-0.146 -0.15)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.258 0.26)15.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.48 0.48)44.38% (-0.48 -0.48)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)25.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.352 -0.35)60.48% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 49.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.12%
    Draw 22.56%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs LA Galaxy

Minnesota United
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 11.15pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
LA Galaxy
6-2
Minnesota Utd
Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')
Yeboah (6', 45+4')
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew8530126618
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC8512137616
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati8512109116
4Inter MiamiInter Miami7430126615
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia8413139413
6Nashville SCNashville8413128413
7Orlando City83321512312
8Chicago Fire83321412212
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls833297212
10New York City FCNY City83231111011
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta82331113-29
12New England RevolutionNew England721447-37
13DC United8134918-96
14Toronto8044713-64
15CF MontrealMontreal8026413-92

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver86111761119
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8431117415
3Portland TimbersPortland84221310314
4Colorado RapidsColorado84221111014
5Austin FCAustin841368-213
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles84041011-112
7Dallas83231011-111
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes83141612410
9Seattle SoundersSeattle8233911-29
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8305813-59
11St Louis City822456-18
12Houston DynamoHouston8134612-66
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas81161016-64
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8035615-93
15San Diego FC00000000


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