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Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 3
Cincinnati

Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

 The Pigeons have not been as poor as their record indicates but have been guilty of a few mental errors, which we believe they will correct come Wednesday. Cincinnati have been grinding out their share of results, and given they have a similar approach to the Union, we believe New York will have a slight advantage, having played Philly just days ago.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
55.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 22.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)15.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)43.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.28% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.31%
    FC Cincinnati 22.28%
    Draw 22.4%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 1am
NY City
1-1
Cincinnati
Pereira (41')
Pereira (43')
Martins (22' og.)
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
gameweek 13
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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