Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto1 - 0NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Toronto 2-1 New York City FC
Sean Johnson has been an elite shot-stopper in this league for quite some time and has proven he can steal a game on his own. Given the Reds' significant injury concerns, we expect the ex-NYCFC keeper to take his game to a level we have come to expect this weekend, while getting his new team back in the win column.How to watch
You can watch Toronto vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
39.92% ( 0.03) | 25.34% ( 0.03) | 34.75% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
