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Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Orlando City

NY City
2 - 1
Orlando City

Callens (66'), Magno (81')
Moralez (69'), Magno (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Torres (47')
Araujo (57'), Urso (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Orlando City

 The Pigeons are full of confidence at the moment, winning a pair of significant games, while Orlando looked great against Toronto, but to be fair, the Reds appeared deflated after being eliminated from postseason contention. Momentum and quality will favour NYCFC in this one, while we expect the Lions to hang back and try to impede the home side, who have many dependable match winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
68.6% (0.087999999999994 0.09) 18.94% (-0.038 -0.04) 12.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.047999999999995 0.05)44.03% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)66.41% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (0.034000000000006 0.03)11.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)36.93% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.35% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)45.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)81.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 68.59%
    Orlando City 12.45%
    Draw 18.94%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 68.59%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City

New York City FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Orlando City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
 Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Mueller (18')
Carlos (3'), Jansson (37'), Miller (53')
Parks (43')
Ring (5'), Tinnerholm (45+5'), Parks (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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