Philadelphia5 - 1Orlando City
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 42 | 60 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 30 | 10 | 53 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New York City FC | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 6 | 41 |
We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City
Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
62.68% ( -0.52) | 20.81% ( -0.03) | 16.51% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
