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Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Toronto FC

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Torres (9'), Kara (22'), MacNaughton (47' og.), Akindele (84')
Moutinho (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Criscito (32'), MacNaughton (82'), Bernardeschi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Atlanta
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.55pm in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Toronto

 There may be more clinical finishers on the TFC side when compared to Orlando, but Toronto leave too many gaps in their third of the field and rely a little too heavily on their Italians to carry them through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
55.01% (-1.806 -1.81) 22.66% (0.464 0.46) 22.32% (1.338 1.34)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-0.42 -0.42)43.36% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.416 -0.42)65.76% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.74499999999999 -0.74)15.66% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-1.399 -1.4)44.69% (1.396 1.4)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (1.02 1.02)33.31% (-1.022 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (1.106 1.11)69.92% (-1.109 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 55.02%
    Toronto 22.32%
    Draw 22.66%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.275 0.28)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto

Orlando City
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
Toronto
42.9%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Toronto
0-1
Orlando City

Bradley (42')
Smith (90+2')
Moutinho (71'), Schlegel (72'), Jansson (88')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76'), Bradley (84')
Nani (77' pen.)
Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
May 23, 2021 12am
Orlando City
1-0
Toronto
Akindele (12')
Akindele (77')

Soteldo (21'), Auro (63')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
Toronto
P-P
Orlando City
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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