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National League North
May 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
1 - 2
Boston

Roberts (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward (45+3'), Knowles (58' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-0 Boston (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawBoston United
41.99% (-0.381 -0.38) 28.81% (-0.213 -0.21) 29.2% (0.592 0.59)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.75% (0.881 0.88)62.24% (-0.881 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.08% (0.641 0.64)81.92% (-0.642 -0.64)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.22 0.22)29.29% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (0.27 0.27)65.26% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (0.964 0.96)37.79% (-0.965 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (0.929 0.93)74.57% (-0.93000000000001 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 41.98%
    Boston United 29.2%
    Draw 28.8%
Brackley TownDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.06% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 29.2%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Boston
1-2
Brackley Town
Mooney (26')
Hall (17'), Newton (34')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Brackley Town
2-1
Boston
Lilley (11'), Roberts (15')
Nicholson (45+2')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Brackley Town
0-1
Boston
Ferguson (87')
rhs 2.0
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