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National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road
Chorley

P'boro Sports
1 - 3
Chorley

Jarvis (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ellis (41'), Maguire (45+4'), Ubaezuonu (48')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Banbury
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawChorley
33.34% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.32% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 40.33% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.71% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)51.92% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.065999999999999 0.07)73.67% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.41% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.41% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.128 0.13)60.11% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 33.34%
    Chorley 40.33%
    Draw 26.32%
Peterborough SportsDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.33%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Chorley
2-0
P'boro Sports
Calveley (7'), Johnson (37' pen.)
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Chorley
1-0
P'boro Sports
Sampson (90+1' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster24144639192046
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton23143632181445
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2613673226645
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe25128540172344
5Chester FCChester25127637271043
6Brackley Town24134732221043
7Darlington2410953124739
8Chorley2311663226639
9Buxton24122103931838
10Hereford UnitedHereford2410773224837
11Alfreton TownAlfreton2410773228437
12South Shields25113114037336
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2471163329432
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports258892831-332
15SouthportSouthport248792733-631
16Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath257993133-230
17Leamington FCLeamington2485113130129
18Oxford CityOxford City2477103641-528
19Warrington Town2659122235-1324
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2573152646-2024
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2256112741-1421
22Marine AFC2456131631-1521
23Rushall Olympic2663172650-2421
24Needham Market2446141739-2218


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