Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
