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National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
0 - 0
Welling United


Bertram-Cooper (53')
FT

Johnson (42')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawWelling United
44.73% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.06% (-0.064 -0.06) 30.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.61% (0.208 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.273 0.27)47.6% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.252 0.25)69.8% (-0.25399999999999 -0.25)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.14899999999999 0.15)21.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (0.231 0.23)54.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.129 0.13)29.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.15799999999999 0.16)65.31% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 44.73%
    Welling United 30.21%
    Draw 25.05%
AFC HornchurchDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.21%

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