National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City5 - 1Hungerford
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hungerford Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
59
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Hungerford
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hungerford Town |
60.12% ( 2.24) | 20.83% ( -0.64) | 19.06% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.58) | 39.45% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( 0.6) | 61.79% ( -0.6) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( 0.85) | 12.75% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.98% ( 1.73) | 39.02% ( -1.72) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -1.26) | 34.23% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.07% ( -1.38) | 70.93% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City 60.12%
Hungerford Town 19.06%
Draw 20.83%
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.33)1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.67% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.95% Total : 19.06% |
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
0-2
Hungerford
Seager (54', 63')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
May 21, 2021 11pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
