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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Braintree Town

Hemel Hemps.
0 - 2
Braintree

FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (25', 78')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
34.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 26.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 38.69% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)52.11% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (-0.061 -0.06)73.84% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.32% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)26.31% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)61.44% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 34.88%
    Braintree Town 38.69%
    Draw 26.43%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.69%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Braintree
Hughes (19')
Janneh (41')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Blair (32', 49'), Clemons (68')
Obi (43')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Da Costa (26'), Crichlow (31', 87')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hemel Hemps.
0-3
Braintree
Holness (10', 16', 62')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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