MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 02:31:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Shields (10'), Maloney (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valentine (17')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
37.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.58%35.67% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.1% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)62.48% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)28.32% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)64.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 37.75%
    Chelmsford City 35.67%
    Draw 26.58%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.75%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.67%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Chelmsford City
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Hyde (71')
Donaldson (40'), Adam Williams (81'), Blackman (90+6')
Vincent (38')
Fielding (33'), Bakrin (49'), Dabre (84')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Chelmsford City
3-0
Tonbridge Angels
Francis (53', 90+2'), Ruff (89')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Chelmsford City
Wagstaff (7+7')
B. (14+14')
Jenkins (32')
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Worthing442591072561684
2Truro CityTruro City442411968402883
3Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd442314766412583
4Dorking WanderersDorking442313886533382
5Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne442313866432382
6Boreham WoodBoreham Wood442481279463380
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone442114967353277
8Weston-super-MareWeston4420121264501472
9Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.441711166370-762
10AFC HornchurchHornchurch441514155354-159
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels441611175054-459
12Farnborough TownFarnborough44178195964-559
13Chesham UnitedChesham441611175967-859
14Chelmsford CityChelmsford City441414166360356
15Bath City441511184545056
16Chippenham TownChippenham44168205665-956
17Slough TownSlough441312196673-751
18Hampton & RichmondHampton44149215865-751
19Enfield Town44139224779-3248
20Salisbury441015195567-1245
21St Albans CitySt Albans City44818184459-1542
22Welling UnitedWelling United44107274585-4037
23Weymouth44615234268-2633
24Aveley4487294377-3431


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