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National League South | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Treyew Road
Yeovil Town

Truro City
0 - 2
Yeovil

FT(HT: 0-1)
Murphy (13'), Fisher (56')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Torquay Utd
Monday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Worthing
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawYeovil Town
18.56% (-0.347 -0.35) 23.88% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 57.56% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 46.77% (-0.703 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)53.12% (0.634 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.542 -0.54)74.7% (0.541 0.54)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (-0.772 -0.77)42.78% (0.77 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (-0.662 -0.66)79.11% (0.661 0.66)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.125 -0.13)18.26% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.69% (-0.213 -0.21)49.31% (0.212 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 18.56%
    Yeovil Town 57.55%
    Draw 23.87%
Truro CityDrawYeovil Town
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.82% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.56%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 13.28% (0.28 0.28)
0-2 @ 11.29% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.4% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.55%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Yeovil
2-1
Truro City
Thomas (84'), Wannell (90')
Neal (55')
rhs 2.0
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