Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Eastleigh |
38.5% ( -2.07) | 24.91% ( -0.13) | 36.6% ( 2.21) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( 0.91) | 45.25% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% ( 0.87) | 67.59% ( -0.87) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.64) | 23.29% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.78% ( -0.94) | 57.22% ( 0.95) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 1.68) | 24.3% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( 2.32) | 58.67% ( -2.32) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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