Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Notts County in this match.