Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.