Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
49.81% ( 0.02) | 23.31% ( -0.09) | 26.88% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% ( 0.44) | 41.86% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% ( 0.44) | 64.27% ( -0.44) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.17) | 16.96% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( 0.31) | 47.05% ( -0.31) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% ( 0.28) | 28.77% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( 0.34) | 64.61% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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