Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 55.56%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
55.56% ( 2.09) | 21.88% ( -0.39) | 22.56% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 59.3% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.52% ( -0.04) | 39.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.18% ( -0.04) | 61.82% ( 0.05) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.66) | 14.14% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( 1.27) | 41.8% ( -1.27) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.07% ( -1.43) | 30.93% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% ( -1.71) | 67.22% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.3% Total : 55.56% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.79% Total : 22.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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