Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.