NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon4 - 2Carrick
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
55.37% ( -0.19) | 22.65% ( 0.12) | 21.97% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
