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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 17, 2022 at 2pm UK
Ewen Fields

Man City U21s
1 - 0
Fulham U21s

Borges (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (27'), O'Neill (33'), McAvoy (49')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-21s and Fulham Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Fulham Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21sDrawFulham Under-21s
67.69% (1.721 1.72) 18.24% (-0.634 -0.63) 14.08% (-1.092 -1.09)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.601 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.601 0.6)36.78% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.05% (0.651 0.65)58.95% (-0.654 -0.65)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.589 0.59)9.97% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.347 1.35)32.96% (-1.352 -1.35)
Fulham Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-1.079 -1.08)38.55% (1.076 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-1.043 -1.04)75.3% (1.039 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Under-21s 67.68%
    Fulham Under-21s 14.08%
    Draw 18.24%
Manchester City Under-21sDrawFulham Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.85% (0.358 0.36)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 4.53% (0.315 0.32)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.09% (0.193 0.19)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.131 0.13)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.24%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 14.08%

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