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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester City logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Man City

Duran (16'), Rogers (65')
Cash (37'), Martinez (45+2'), McGinn (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Foden (90+3')
Lewis (47'), Gvardiol (84'), Grealish (87')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City's horror run of form continues as they suffer a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
31.23% (0.837 0.84) 22.58% (0.192 0.19) 46.19% (-1.026 -1.03)
Both teams to score 65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.485 -0.48)35.51% (0.488 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.541 -0.54)57.56% (0.544 0.54)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.251 0.25)22.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.37 0.37)56.39% (-0.366 -0.37)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11% (-0.55 -0.55)15.89% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-1.026 -1.03)45.11% (1.03 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 31.23%
    Manchester City 46.19%
    Draw 22.58%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.35% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
26.1%
Manchester City
37.1%
383
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Man City
4-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (11'), Foden (45+1', 62', 69')
Grealish (32')
Duran (20')
Luiz (38'), Chambers (90+4')
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
1-0
Man City
Bailey (74')
Watkins (60'), Kamara (87')

Stones (45'), Lewis (53')
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Man City
3-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Watkins (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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