We said: Aston Villa 0-3 Manchester City
Villa arguably should not have been in with a chance of stealing a point off of Arsenal in midweek, but credit where credit is due to some of their last-ditch defending efforts, and they did come out fighting in the second period.
However, such small positives are unlikely to count for much against the rampant champions, who will seek to further increase the pressure on the under-fire Gerrard with a straightforward success on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.