Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.