Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 4.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 4-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.