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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Anfield
Luton Town

Liverpool
4 - 1
Luton

van Dijk (56'), Gakpo (58'), Diaz (71'), Elliott (90')
Gomez (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogbene (12')
Doughty (18'), Woodrow (42'), Barkley (77'), Kabore (89')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool move four points clear at the Premier League summit after coming from behind to beat Luton Town 4-1 at Anfield on Tuesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Luton Town.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawLuton Town
79.42% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 12.63% (-0.052 -0.05) 7.95% (-0.0299 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (0.16900000000001 0.17)26.74% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (0.213 0.21)47.16% (-0.212 -0.21)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.74% (0.048000000000002 0.05)5.26% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.26% (0.14 0.14)20.74% (-0.138 -0.14)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)42.18% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41% (0.055 0.05)78.59% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 79.42%
    Luton Town 7.95%
    Draw 12.63%
LiverpoolDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 6.96% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 6.01% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.1% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.54% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.01% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 5.38%
Total : 79.42%
1-1 @ 5.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.63%
1-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 7.95%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Luton

Liverpool
83.2%
Draw
9.5%
Luton Town
7.3%
327
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Luton
1-1
Liverpool
Chong (80')
Nakamba (44')
Diaz (90+5')
Mac Allister (54'), Klopp (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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