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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
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Newcastle
3 - 1
Southampton

Wilson (54', 81'), Walcott (79' og.)
Joelinton (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (41')
Bednarek (4'), Walker-Peters (56'), Selles (57+57'), Armstrong (71+71'), Armstrong (71'), Lavia (72')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United score three second-half goals to earn maximum points off Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Newcastle
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
73.02% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 16.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 10.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33% (-0.169 -0.17)39.67% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-0.176 -0.18)62.02% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)9.45% (0.062099999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.25% (-0.145 -0.14)31.74% (0.146 0.15)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.31% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)46.68% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.75% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)82.25% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 73%
    Southampton 10.28%
    Draw 16.7%
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 73%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 16.7%
0-1 @ 3.36% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 10.28%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton

Newcastle United
84.4%
Draw
10.0%
Southampton
5.6%
90
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Newcastle
2-1
Southampton
Longstaff (5', 21')
Guimaraes (82')
Adams (29')
Jan 24, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Southampton
0-1
Newcastle

Caleta-Car (28'), Alcaraz (37'), Walker-Peters (44'), Lyanco (84'), Salisu (90+5')
Caleta-Car (86')
Joelinton (73')
Trippier (70'), Saint-Maximin (84'), Guimaraes (86')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Southampton
1-4
Newcastle
Perraud (89')
Lavia (75')
Almiron (35'), Wood (58'), Willock (62'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Mar 10, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 21
Southampton
1-2
Newcastle
Armstrong (25')
Bednarek (72')
Wood (32'), Guimaraes (52')
Murphy (16')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 3
Newcastle
2-2
Southampton
Wilson (55'), Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (40'), Lascelles (90+5')
Elyounoussi (74'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)
Walker-Peters (30'), Djenepo (56'), Ward-Prowse (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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