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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Newcastle logo

Everton
1 - 4
Newcastle

McNeil (80')
Onana (40'), Maupay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (28', 75'), Joelinton (72'), Murphy (81')
Targett (53')

The Match

Match Report

Everton's hopes of retaining their Premier League status suffer a devastating blow as Newcastle United run riot in a 4-1 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Everton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawNewcastle United
22.77% (-0.073 -0.07) 24.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 53.07% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.99% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7% (0.244 0.24)49.3% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (0.218 0.22)71.35% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (0.066000000000003 0.07)36.19% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.98% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (0.15400000000001 0.15)18.52% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (0.255 0.25)49.75% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Everton 22.77%
    Newcastle United 53.06%
    Draw 24.15%
EvertonDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.77%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.45% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.36% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.06%

How you voted: Everton vs Newcastle

Everton
18.3%
Draw
11.2%
Newcastle United
70.5%
224
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 17, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Everton
1-0
Newcastle
Iwobi (90+9')
Richarlison (64'), Gordon (76')
Allan (83')

Krafth (76')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Newcastle
3-1
Everton
Holgate (37' og.), Fraser (56'), Trippier (80')
Shelvey (33'), Schar (50')
Lascelles (36' og.)
Holgate (14'), Gomes (47'), Allan (79')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Everton
0-2
Newcastle

Sigurdsson (33'), Keane (61'), Rodriguez (79')
Wilson (73', 90+3')
Lascelles (4'), Shelvey (21'), Darlow (84'), Hendrick (88')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
gameweek 7
Newcastle
2-1
Everton
Wilson (56' pen., 84')
Wilson (55'), Murphy (90+5')
Calvert-Lewin (90+1')
Nkounkou (32'), Mina (69'), Allan (72'), Doucoure (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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