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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Brighton logo

Southampton
1 - 1
Brighton

Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Southampton 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

There has not been a goalless stalemate between these two clubs for over 10 years, but it is extremely difficult to separate them on this occasion. The Saints have taken 10 points at home, while Brighton boast 10 on the road this term, and we can envisage defenders taking centre stage as both sides cancel each other out down south. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.06%27.68%31.26%
Both teams to score 47.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28%57.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53%78.47%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83%63.17%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55%70.45%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 41.05%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 31.26%
    Draw 27.68%
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Southampton vs Brighton

Southampton
47.1%
Draw
37.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15.5%
174
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 28
Southampton
1-2
Brighton
Adams (27')
Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
Jul 16, 2020 8.15pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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