Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga4 - 1Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Braga 3-0 Portimonense
When you couple Braga's exceptional home form with Portimonense's woeful away record, all the signs point towards a straightforward win for Os Arsenalistas at the Estadio Municipal de Braga. Given that Braga have won 10 of their last 13 home league games – keeping nine clean sheets in the process – we expect Jorge's men to notch another shutout victory in front of their fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
76.06% ( -0.03) | 15.74% ( 0.01) | 8.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
