Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.4% ( -1.11) | 27.58% ( 0.38) | 37.03% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 49.08% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -1.52) | 56.66% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -1.24) | 77.62% ( 1.24) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -1.44) | 30.45% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -1.74) | 66.66% ( 1.75) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( -0.3) | 29.44% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% ( -0.37) | 65.44% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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