MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:38:14| >> :60:494:494:
Braga
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Nacional

Braga
2 - 2
Nacional

Racic (33' pen.), Gomes (48')
Pizzi (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clayton (72'), Dudu (90+3' pen.)
Danilovic (35'), Aurelio (58'), Macedo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Braga and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga
Friday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Nacional 0-5 Braga
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 2-0 Nacional

 Despite already holding a five-goal advantage, the in-form Braga are likely to score even more, even though they may not be as clinical as they were in the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 9.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawNacional
74.52% (-0.458 -0.46) 16.27% (0.226 0.23) 9.21% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 45.46% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)41.06% (0.285 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54% (-0.291 -0.29)63.45% (0.292 0.29)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.55% (-0.18199999999999 -0.18)9.45% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.26% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)31.74% (0.429 0.43)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.2% (0.318 0.32)49.79% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.48% (0.221 0.22)84.51% (-0.22 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Braga 74.49%
    Nacional 9.21%
    Draw 16.27%
BragaDrawNacional
2-0 @ 13.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 74.49%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 16.27%
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.7% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.21%

How you voted: Braga vs Nacional

Braga
92.6%
Draw
7.4%
Nacional
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2023 7.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Nacional
0-5
Braga

Vieira (75')
Racic (25', 53'), Pizzi (43'), Banza (76' pen., 90+1')
Racic (47'), Pizzi (57')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
gameweek 21
Nacional
1-2
Braga
Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
gameweek 4
Braga
2-1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
Jan 18, 2019 6.45pm
gameweek 18
Nacional
0-3
Braga

Riascos (10'), Ferreira (72')
Horta (61'), Murilo (73'), Paulinho (86')
Santos (10'), Sousa (14')
Aug 12, 2018 8.30pm
gameweek 1
Braga
4-2
Nacional
Sousa (4', 32'), Horta (48', 72')
Figueiras (71')
Rochez (23' pen., 37')
Cerqueira (15'), Jota (43'), Alhassan (81')
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