Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
49.25% (![]() | 27.64% (![]() | 23.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.35% (![]() | 61.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.52% (![]() | 81.48% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% (![]() | 25.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% (![]() | 60.02% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.15% (![]() | 42.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.83% (![]() | 79.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 14.89% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.24% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 12.62% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |