Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Estoril Praia.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave |
38.83% (![]() | 27.23% (![]() | 33.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% (![]() | 55.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% (![]() | 76.65% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% (![]() | 27.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% (![]() | 63.39% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% (![]() | 30.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.94% (![]() | 67.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 12.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |