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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Rio Ave

Estoril
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Begraoui (55'), Orellana (90')
Bacher (25'), Alvaro (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morais (83')
Bakoulas (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 AVS
Sunday, February 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Rio Ave

This encounter has the mark of a tightly contested battle, with both sides showing resilience in recent times, but we expect Estoril to edge it, given they are in a more explosive form, with Rio's poor away record also playing a factor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Estoril Praia.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
38.83% (-0.51 -0.51) 27.23% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09) 33.94% (0.604 0.6)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.45699999999999 0.46)55.46% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.375 0.38)76.65% (-0.375 -0.38)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)27.8% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)63.39% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (0.631 0.63)30.79% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (0.735 0.73)67.06% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 38.83%
    Rio Ave 33.93%
    Draw 27.22%
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.93%

How you voted: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril Praia
68.8%
Draw
31.3%
Rio Ave
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-2
Estoril
Bondoso (9'), Clayton (59')
Pantalon (90'), Tiknaz (90+3')
Marques (64'), Pina (68')
Zanocelo (27'), Mangala (85')
Jan 31, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rio Ave
1-1
Estoril
Boateng (56')
Patrick (20'), Joca (46'), Costinha (90+4'), Oudrhiri (90+1')
Tavares (85')
Feltes (55'), Mangala (84'), Gomes (90+3')
Aug 20, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
2-0
Rio Ave
Mangala (55'), Marques (90+8')
Vital (5'), Araujo (75'), Holsgrove (77'), Marques (86')

Pantalon (21'), Boateng (90+5')
Feb 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
Rio Ave
2-0
Estoril
Pereira (65' pen.), Joaozinho (90+5' og.)
Aug 19, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estoril
2-2
Rio Ave
Martins (6'), Gouveia (80')
Gouveia (14'), Tavares (66'), Ndiaye (90+2'), Vital (90+4')
Costinha (61'), Yakubu (73')
Pantalon (10'), Amaral (22'), Vitor (83')
Ferreira (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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