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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Braga

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Braga

Clayton (5'), Panzo (70')
Tiknaz (31'), Neto (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Navarro (10')
Navarro (36'), Moutinho (54'), Gharbi (65'), Racic (78'), Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Braga

With a draw against Porto on their recent record, Rio Ave will have belief that they can earn another positive result against one of the big four. Nevertheless, we have to back Braga for this contest, particularly in a tight game given how they have churned out victories of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Rio AveDrawBraga
28.05% (0.492 0.49) 25.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 46.21% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.199 0.2)51.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.173 0.17)73.39% (-0.167 -0.17)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.48699999999999 0.49)32.98% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.535 0.54)69.56% (-0.529 -0.53)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)22.31% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.224 -0.22)55.77% (0.228 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 28.05%
    Braga 46.21%
    Draw 25.74%
Rio AveDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.05%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.21%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Braga

Rio Ave
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Braga
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Braga
4-0
Rio Ave
Martinez (31'), Gharbi (38'), Horta (66'), Bruma (90+3')

Vrousai (60')
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Rio Ave
0-0
Braga
Oudrhiri (12')
Bruma (12'), Carvalho (44'), Oliveira (49'), Zalazar (60')
Oct 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
2-1
Rio Ave
Banza (90+1'), Ruiz (90+6')
Saatci (40')
Acevedo (5')
Luiz (74'), Gomes (80')
Mar 5, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Braga
2-0
Rio Ave
Bruma (36'), Banza (79')
Sep 11, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-3
Braga
Boateng (81'), Yakubu (87')
Elmusrati (11'), Medeiros (25'), Horta (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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