Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
34.37% ( -0.39) | 28.42% ( -0.14) | 37.21% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 46.48% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.16% ( 0.47) | 59.84% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.88% ( 0.36) | 80.12% ( -0.36) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( -0.02) | 32.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.02) | 69.28% ( 0.02) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.57) | 30.91% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( 0.67) | 67.2% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |