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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 3
Al-Ahli

Al-Dawsari (74'), Leonardo (83' pen.)
Leonardo (29'), Al-Dawsari (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toney (47', 53', 87')
Yaslam (6'), Kessie (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 5-1 Al Kholood
Tuesday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Al Quadisiya
Tuesday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-2 Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal will be eager to build on their emphatic win last time out, but Al-Ahli arrive in superb form and could pose a serious threat thanks to their solid defence. With Leonardo and Toney both in fine scoring touch, we expect an entertaining contest with a host of goals, however, Al-Hilal's formidable home record might just give them the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 3-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
54.72% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 20.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 66.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.012 -0.01)36.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 54.72%
    Al-Ahli 24.56%
    Draw 20.72%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Al-Ahli
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Veiga (12')
Ibanez (37'), Hamidou (75'), Majrashi (90')
Mitrovic (56', 78')
Al-Dawsari (75'), Mitrovic (90+4')
May 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad24184257233458
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal24173470284254
3Al Quadisiya24163537201751
4Al-Nassr24146450262448
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli24153647232448
6Al ShababAl Shabab24124841301140
7Al Ettifaq2410593234-235
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun249782722534
9Al Riyadh249692633-733
10Al Kholood2494113344-1131
11Al Khaleej2486103035-530
12Al Orubah2482142244-2226
13Damac2466122941-1224
14Al Fayha24410101632-1622
15Al Fateh2454152448-2419
16Al RaedAl Raed2453162743-1618
17Al Okhdood2445152339-1617
18Al WahdaAl Wahda2445152854-2617


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