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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 22, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 1
Al-Hilal

Kadesh (29'), Bergwijn (45', 51'), Benzema (86')
Bergwijn (36'), Al Mousa (63'), Kadesh (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leonardo (23')
Cancelo (78'), Al Hamdan (90+2'), Leonardo (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 1-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, February 14 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad remain undefeated at home in the league this season, while the visitors have struggled on the road, however, considering Al-Hilal's strong record in recent encounters, we believe this match will end in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.91%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
32.79% (-0.865 -0.87) 22.19% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 45.02% (0.877 0.88)
Both teams to score 67.28% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)32.84% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (-0.315 -0.32)54.54% (0.316 0.32)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)20.58% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (-0.915 -0.91)53.11% (0.916 0.92)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.20999999999999 0.21)15.29% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (0.394 0.39)44% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 32.79%
    Al-Hilal 45.02%
    Draw 22.19%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 4.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.79%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.124 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.07 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad
47.1%
Draw
29.4%
Al-Hilal
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (3', 14' pen.), Al-Dawsari (37')
Malcom (45+1')
Benzema (86')
Kante (11'), Pereira (17')
Mar 12, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ittihad
0-2
Al-Hilal

Felipe (10'), Al-Amri (24'), Al-Ghamdi (35'), Al-Farhan (55'), Al-Ghamdi (85'), Hegazy (90+1')
Hamdallah (90+1')
Al-Shahrani (61'), Malcom (90+5')
Al-Faraj (37'), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Albulayhi (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 6pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')

Kante (66')
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Al-Shehri (39'), Malcom (59'), Abdul Hamid (67')
Al-Shehri (50'), Al-Faraj (77')
Kante (12')
Fabinho (35'), Al-Sahafi (47'), Hegazy (50')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad24184257233458
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal24173470284254
3Al Quadisiya24163537201751
4Al-Nassr24146450262448
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli24153647232448
6Al ShababAl Shabab24124841301140
7Al Ettifaq2410593234-235
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun249782722534
9Al Riyadh249692633-733
10Al Kholood2494113344-1131
11Al Khaleej2486103035-530
12Al Orubah2482142244-2226
13Damac2466122941-1224
14Al Fayha24410101632-1622
15Al Fateh2454152448-2419
16Al RaedAl Raed2453162743-1618
17Al Okhdood2445152339-1617
18Al WahdaAl Wahda2445152854-2617


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