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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al Ittihad

Mitrovic (3', 14' pen.), Al-Dawsari (37')
Malcom (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Benzema (86')
Kante (11'), Pereira (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 7-1 Al Wahda
Sunday, September 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-2 Al Ittihad

 While Al Ittihad will be brimming with confidence after that commanding win over Al Wehda last week, they are now set for their toughest test of the season against the defending champions, who have been just as impressive over the early stages of the campaign. This one could easily end in another goal-fest, but it is difficult to overlook Al-Hilal's home record, so we are going with the hosts to secure the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
66.67% (0.601 0.6) 17.47% (0.169 0.17) 15.86% (-0.773 -0.77)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-2.666 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.09% (-2.485 -2.49)28.91% (2.482 2.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.13% (-3.108 -3.11)49.87% (3.104 3.1)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (-0.53 -0.53)8.11% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.53% (-1.342 -1.34)28.47% (1.338 1.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-2.493 -2.49)31.17% (2.489 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-3.007 -3.01)67.5% (3.001 3)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 66.67%
    Al Ittihad 15.86%
    Draw 17.47%
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.263 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.741 0.74)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.46 0.46)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.74 0.74)
4-1 @ 4.89% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.184 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.85% (-0.278 -0.28)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.038 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.194 -0.19)
6-1 @ 1.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 66.67%
1-1 @ 7.4% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.353 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.47%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 15.86%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Ittihad

Al-Hilal
79.2%
Draw
16.7%
Al Ittihad
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ittihad
0-2
Al-Hilal

Felipe (10'), Al-Amri (24'), Al-Ghamdi (35'), Al-Farhan (55'), Al-Ghamdi (85'), Hegazy (90+1')
Hamdallah (90+1')
Al-Shahrani (61'), Malcom (90+5')
Al-Faraj (37'), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Albulayhi (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2024 6pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')

Kante (66')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Al-Shehri (39'), Malcom (59'), Abdul Hamid (67')
Al-Shehri (50'), Al-Faraj (77')
Kante (12')
Fabinho (35'), Al-Sahafi (47'), Hegazy (50')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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