MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:09:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 17
Jan 26, 2025 at 5pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Fateh

Saadane (41' og.), Simakan (57'), Ronaldo (87')
Ronaldo (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Batna (72')
Saadane (56'), Baattia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fateh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, January 21 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 2-1 Damac
Wednesday, January 22 at 2.55pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Fateh

Al Fateh will travel with renewed confidence at the weekend after a crucial win on Wednesday, but the hosts' superior quality should see them to a comfortable victory knowing only a winning run will suffice to maintain any slim title hopes this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 81.46%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 6.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Fateh
81.46% (-0.126 -0.13) 11.56% (0.152 0.15) 6.98% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-1.017 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.15% (-1.017 -1.02)24.85% (1.02 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.27% (-1.345 -1.35)44.73% (1.348 1.35)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.43% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)4.57% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.33% (-0.64 -0.64)18.67% (0.643 0.64)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (-0.939 -0.94)42.98% (0.944 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (-0.809 -0.81)79.28% (0.81100000000001 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 81.46%
    Al Fateh 6.98%
    Draw 11.56%
Al-NassrDrawAl Fateh
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.226 0.23)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.355 0.36)
3-1 @ 8.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.1 0.1)
4-0 @ 7.42% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 6.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.06% (0.316 0.32)
5-0 @ 4.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.87% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
6-0 @ 2.36% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.63% (-0.097 -0.1)
7-0 @ 1.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 5.2%
Total : 81.46%
1-1 @ 5.12% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.96% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.56%
1-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 1.66% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 6.98%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Fateh

Al-Nassr
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Al Fateh
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 20
Al-Nassr
2-1
Al Fateh
Ronaldo (17'), Otavio (72')
Brozovic (14')
Al-Najdi (29')
Al-Najdi (30'), Batna (53'), Tello (78'), Saadane (79')
Aug 25, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Fateh
0-5
Al-Nassr
Mane (27', 81'), Ronaldo (38', 55', 90+6')
Brozovic (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad24184257233458
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal24173470284254
3Al Quadisiya24163537201751
4Al-Nassr24146450262448
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli24153647232448
6Al ShababAl Shabab24124841301140
7Al Ettifaq2410593234-235
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun249782722534
9Al Riyadh249692633-733
10Al Kholood2494113344-1131
11Al Khaleej2486103035-530
12Al Orubah2482142244-2226
13Damac2466122941-1224
14Al Fayha24410101632-1622
15Al Fateh2454152448-2419
16Al RaedAl Raed2453162743-1618
17Al Okhdood2445152339-1617
18Al WahdaAl Wahda2445152854-2617


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