Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
40.5% ( -0.22) | 25.39% ( 0.05) | 34.11% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% ( -0.18) | 47.74% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.06% ( -0.17) | 69.93% ( 0.17) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( -0.19) | 23.37% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.64% ( -0.28) | 57.35% ( 0.28) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( 0.01) | 26.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 0.01) | 62.21% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |