Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.