Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Airdrieonians |
60.13% ( 0.4) | 22.61% ( -0.13) | 17.27% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 48.15% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( 0.16) | 50.02% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( 0.14) | 72% ( -0.13) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( 0.19) | 16.24% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% ( 0.34) | 45.76% ( -0.34) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.49% ( -0.22) | 42.51% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.12% ( -0.19) | 78.88% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 41 |
3 | Livingston | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 39 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |