Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Partick Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
46.6% ( 0.31) | 26.82% ( -0.13) | 26.58% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 47.84% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.41% ( 0.37) | 56.59% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% ( 0.3) | 77.57% ( -0.29) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% ( 0.31) | 24.27% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.36% ( 0.44) | 58.64% ( -0.43) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.17% ( 0.06) | 36.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.06) | 73.62% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Partick Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 41 |
3 | Livingston | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 39 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |