Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
35.46% ( -0.26) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 38.81% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( -0.11) | 49.03% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( -0.1) | 71.11% ( 0.1) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( -0.2) | 26.7% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% ( -0.27) | 61.96% ( 0.27) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( 0.08) | 24.83% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% ( 0.11) | 59.42% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |