Dumbarton

1 - 2

Alloa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.