Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.